8501.0 - Retail Trade Trends, Australia, Nov 2008

ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 07/01/2009

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NOVEMBER KEY FIGURES

		Nov 08	Oct 08 to Nov 08	Nov 07 to Nov 08
		$m	% change	% change

Turnover at current prices
	Trend estimates	18 423.1	0.1	1.9

Monthly turnover, Trend estimates - % change
Graph: Monthly turnover, Trend estimates—% change

NOVEMBER KEY POINTS

The trend estimate of turnover for the Australian Retail series increased by 0.1% in November 2008. This follows an increase of 0.2% for each of the preceding three months.
In November 2008, Food retailing (+0.7%) and Other retailing (+0.6%) had an increase in the trend. Industries with a decrease in the trend were Department stores (-0.4%), Clothing and soft good retailing (-0.3%), Household good retailing (-1.0%) and Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (-0.3%).
All States, except New South Wales (-0.2%) and Western Australia (-0.1%), had an increase in the trend estimate. Queensland, South Australia (both +0.1%) and Tasmania (+0.2%) had weak growth in the trend estimate.
The trend estimate for the Australian retail series increased by 1.9% in November 2008 compared with November 2007.
The trend estimate for Chains and other large retailers (which are completely enumerated) increased by 0.3% in November 2008 compared to October 2008 and 5.1% in November 2008 compared to November 2007.

NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUE	Release Date
December 2008	4 February 2009
January 2009	3 March 2009
February 2009	1 April 2009
March 2009	6 May 2009
April 2009	1 June 2009
May 2009	1 July 2009

CHANGES IN THIS AND FUTURE ISSUES

Details of changes in this and future issues are described under Changes in this and future issues.

TIME SERIES DATA

The following trend, seasonally adjusted and original series are available from the Downloads tab of this issue:

Retail turnover by state
Retail turnover by industry
Retail turnover completely enumerated sector, total level.

Also available are standard errors by state and industry.

INTERPRETING MONTHLY MOVEMENTS

Due to the smaller sample size and sampling methodology (independent samples for each month of the quarter) in effect from July to October 2008, there is increased volatility in all series. The original and seasonally adjusted series are most affected and, as a result, the original and seasonally adjusted series are considered of limited use for measuring month to month movements. The ABS recommends using the trend series for this analysis.

INQUIRIES

For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070 or Neil Hamilton on Canberra (02) 6252 5990.